This year, China's small diesel engine market is difficult to sustain

“The prosperity at the beginning of this year has left us with fresh memories. Companies have worked overtime, co-ordinated funds, and organized parts. However, after entering March, there was a sign of decline.” Secretary of the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, single-cylinder diesel engine branch and multi-cylinder Xiaochai branch In a recent interview with the China Industry News, Chang Shaoren said: “This change is closely related to the end market. After entering the second quarter, the Chinese auto market has entered a million-scale inventory from zero inventory, and the large and medium-sized tractor market has changed from queuing and waiting to become quite equivalent. One-sixth of the total annual sales of inventory."

Double-digit growth year-on-year

Although the trend of the vehicle market decline has been very obvious, but the small diesel engine still delivered a beautiful answer in the first half of this year. From the sales data, single-cylinder diesel engines completed 3.6 million units in the first half of the year, and multi-cylinder small diesel engines completed 2.65 million units, both of which achieved double-digit growth year-on-year.

Shao Renen analyzed: "As an intermediate product, small diesel engines are widely used in light vehicles, low-speed cars, micro-cars, cars and cars, medium and small tractors, small and medium-sized combine harvesters, small and medium-sized construction machinery, inland lakes and coastal vessels and Road and non-road equipment, such as power generation and water pumps, responded later than the end products. In addition, due to the wide range of facilities, there was an imbalance in the bright light to the east of the east, so sales in the first half of the year were indeed a good word. ."

Among them, the 25 major companies in the single-cylinder diesel engine industry produced 3,535,397 units in the first half of the year, an increase of 10.59% year-on-year, and sold 3,619,658 units, an increase of 11.51% over the same period last year. The industry concentration and market share of these 25 companies are all above and below 80%.

Among the 25 companies, 1,365,972 units were produced by Shifeng, Changchai, Changfa and Jiangdong, and 1,839,449 were sold. In the first half of the year, the production concentration was 50.6%, and the market share was 50.82%, compared with the same period last year. They were 40.70% and 41.40%, respectively. It can be seen that the leading companies have foreseen the possible downturn in the second half of the year and have made adequate preparations to lay a good foundation for the annual results.

In-depth analysis of production and sales data, among 25 major manufacturing companies, production and sales increased year-on-year, and was higher than 14 in the same period in 2008: Shi Feng, Chang Chai, Chang Lin, Ya Mei Ke, Lian Kai, Jin Fei Yu, San Huan, Kai Ma, Jintanyi, Jindong, Sifang, Danchai, Taichai, and Jiehua; production and sales increased year-on-year but were lower than Jiangyin and Yanmar in the same period of 2008. In addition, there are nine companies or their subordinate groups that have experienced continuous declines in year-on-year production and sales due to capital investment changes: Changfa, Laidong, Rugao, Changgong, Binhu, Changtong, Ryan Changyang, and Sun.

According to the same order of production increments, Changlin, Changchai, Shifeng, Sanhuan, Jintan, Jinfeiyu, Liankai, Sifang, Jindong, Yameike, Danchai, Taichai, and Jiehua .

In contrast, the performance of multi-cylinder Xiaochai was better than that of a single-cylinder diesel engine. In the first half of the year, the industrial production and sales achieved an increase of 28.4%. According to the statistics of the association, the production concentration and market share of the 28 companies exceeded 90%, and the trend of concentration of production and sales to large enterprises was very obvious.

Of the 28 companies, 22 companies had a year-on-year increase in sales in the first half of the year. According to the incremental order, they were: Xiechai, Quanjiao, Jiangling, Futian, Yuchai, Laidong, Changchai, Sida, Chaochai, Xinchang, Qingling, Dalian, Yangchai, Nanqi, Jiangdong, Dongfeng Cummins, Chengfa, Luotuo, Lijia, Lane, Jiading and Changtong. The 6 companies that have dropped year-on-year are Yunnei, Shifeng, Rugao, Shantuo, Changfa and Xinbinhu.

Single cylinder machine trend: non-S series, air-cooled, vertical

Speaking of the trend of product changes in the single-cylinder diesel engine industry, Shao Renen first analyzed the trend of the industry variety structure last year. In 2009, the total production and sales of the S series of horizontal water-cooled models rose from 3.91 million units to 3.72 million units to 4.12 million units and 4.17 million units respectively, but their share of the total volume decreased from 60.8% to 60.4% to 56.9%. 56.9%. The history of the series peaked in 2006, reaching 5.3 million units.

The other mainstream product of the single-cylinder diesel engine is the R-series water-cooled horizontal machine. In the past year, the model has emerged from the recovery industry as the S-series, but the total volume has not surpassed historical highs to 2.21 million units. The closing was flat with the data for 2006.

The low-power air-cooled engine is the biggest bright spot for the production and sales of single-cylinder diesel engines. It was 530,000 units in 2005, 450,000 units in 2006, 490,000 units in 2007, 730,000 units in 2008, and 970,000 units in 2009, although it accounted for the share of total production and sales. Slight fluctuations but the trend of rising all the way has already leapt to the paper.

With the development of new rural construction, food production tends to be supplied by bases of various scales, and economic crops adapted to local conditions are produced by relatively scattered specialized households. This change brought benefits from the development of multi-functional tillage machines and management machines. It has shown good performance for single-cylinder vertical diesel engines with low power, low noise, low emissions, light weight, low fuel consumption, sufficient power and adaptability. market expectation.

"According to statistical data, non-S series, air-cooled, and vertical single-cylinder machine products are tapping into cities and are gradually expanding. Last year, non-S series machines accounted for 43.42% of total single-cylinder diesel engine production and sales, and air-cooled machines accounted for 13.25%. Vertical machines accounted for 7.40%, but only five years ago, its share was only 33%, 6.89%, 0.7%." Shao Renen told reporters, "The statistics of the first half of this year basically consistent with this, further confirmed the single-cylinder diesel engine The trend of product adjustment."

Among them, well-known foreign single-cylinder machine manufacturers such as Lombardini in Italy, Harz in Germany, Yanmar in Japan, and Kubota all use vertical air-cooled machines as the mainstream products for single-cylinder diesel engines. Therefore, the variety structure of single-cylinder diesel engines in China is changing toward non-S series, air-cooled, and vertical, and it can be seen as a change in line with international standards.

Do four homework

According to the analysis of the domestic small-scale diesel engine production and sales market in the first half of the year, Shao Renen believes that there are many variables in the domestic small diesel engine market. Therefore, he suggested that the industry should pay attention to and do well in four aspects of homework.

First, in order to meet the requirements of energy conservation and emission reduction policies, companies in the industry are faced with technological problems.

Secondly, the R&D work of enterprises in the industry is still not standardized, and the emphasis and investment on intellectual property rights are not enough. Trade frictions are prone to occur, and investment in patents and other aspects must be increased. To learn to understand and learn the rules concerning their own interests, rely on industry organizations to circumvent conflicts and resolve contradictions.

Thirdly, supporting road vehicles calls for the development of a new generation of crossover passenger cars and light diesel commercial vehicles with small displacement, high speed, light weight, and emission regulations, independent innovation, self-contained systems, and independent property rights. Not too wide, it has reached the day of action.

Fourth, no matter whether it is a new-generation single-cylinder diesel engine or a new generation of multi-cylinder small diesel engine, the general technical conditions need to be formulated. As the main battlefield for the implementation of the standard, the main body of standard formulation, the preparation of Xiaochai’s production and sales companies is still far from being completed. The operational plan that the target is implemented in the form of an entrepreneurial alliance is far from the agenda, and the road to go is long.